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Cs. Vadadi-Fülöp D. Türei Cs. Sipkay Cs. Verasztó Á. Drégelyi-Kiss L. Hufnagel 《Environmental Modeling and Assessment》2009,14(5):563-576
In the years 2004 and 2005, we collected samples of phytoplankton, zooplankton, and macroinvertebrates in an artificial small
pond in Budapest (Hungary). We set up a simulation model predicting the abundances of the cyclopoids, Eudiaptomus zachariasi, and Ischnura pumilio by considering only temperature and the abundance of population of the previous day. Phytoplankton abundance was simulated
by considering not only temperature but the abundances of the three mentioned groups. When we ran the model with the data
series of internationally accepted climate change scenarios, the different outcomes were discussed. Comparative assessment
of the alternative climate change scenarios was also carried out with statistical methods. 相似文献